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Red116
196737.2
76644.3
10041.2
Blue68
170015.0
64922.6
696243.1
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1409105015020011668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+32Teleop
+44Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +50
16Coral scored#6
56Coral points22
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
86Total teleop36
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
4Foul points0
116Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#9
44.30.8
42.641.8
Auto5.9
Teleop32.3
End6.1
red by 1.2
6962
#24
43.11.3
35.834.5
Auto12.2
Teleop31.8
End-0.8
Second
100
#10
41.20.8
41.941.1
Auto8.6
Teleop25.7
End6.9
red by 18.6
649
#36
22.61.3
32.731.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Third
1967
#16
37.20.8
36.335.5
Auto11.3
Teleop24.9
End1.0
red by 22.1
1700
#38
15.01.3
18.917.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed