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Red137
325653.9
186832.5
476526.5
Blue183
415940.8
666538.3
839.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125116050150200250300350137183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+46
Endgame+44
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave9
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points45
30Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +22
19Coral scored#21
69Coral points75
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
91Total teleop113
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#11
5L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#38
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points2
137Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#17
53.91.0
53.554.5
Auto12.9
Teleop32.9
End8.1
red by 13.0
40.84.5
37.842.4
Auto14.6
Teleop24.5
End1.8
Second
1868
#18
32.51.0
31.832.9
Auto8.0
Teleop17.7
End6.7
blue by 7.2
8
#21
39.64.5
32.737.2
Auto13.2
Teleop23.4
End3.1
Third
4765
#35
26.51.0
25.226.2
Auto5.7
Teleop19.7
End1.1
blue by 11.8
6665
#12
38.34.5
31.135.6
Auto6.2
Teleop23.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned