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Red110
84167.4
84041.1
Blue46
724510.5
75125.9
490425.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11855010015020011046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+50Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +39
13Coral scored#6
47Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
71Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#10
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
110Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#4
67.40.8
56.657.4
Auto14.9
Teleop42.5
End10.0
red by 41.5
751
#22
25.90.8
25.825.0
Auto7.4
Teleop16.0
End2.5
Second
840
#3
41.10.8
40.341.0
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
red by 15.5
4904
#19
25.60.8
22.521.7
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End1.0
Third
4.41.3
1.42.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End-0.6
blue by 6.0
7245
#32
10.50.8
9.68.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed