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Red117
688415.8
84669.1
85225.6
Blue109
605924.5
499018.8
304572.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116122050100150200250300117109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+12Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +2
15Coral scored#16
53Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
75Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#5
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
117Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#11
69.10.7
61.862.5
Auto15.8
Teleop46.9
End6.3
blue by 3.2
72.20.0
66.866.8
Auto19.0
Teleop42.3
End11.0
Second
852
#20
25.60.7
29.230.0
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End1.0
red by 1.1
6059
#30
24.50.0
23.623.6
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Third
6884
#39
15.80.7
14.815.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.2
blue by 3.0
4990
#31
18.80.0
18.218.3
Auto3.7
Teleop14.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned