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Red116
135143.1
418616.8
25323.4
Blue98
11537.4
67045.7
543013.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91982040608012014016011698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+4Teleop
0Endgame0
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +15
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points52
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
24Processor points6
12Net points16
36Algae points22
89Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
18Foul points0
116Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#15
43.11.0
44.145.2
Auto6.7
Teleop35.1
End1.3
blue by 2.6
670
#8
45.70.5
41.542.0
Auto10.5
Teleop28.3
End6.9
Second
253
#23
23.41.0
17.118.1
Auto1.7
Teleop19.5
End2.2
blue by 14.1
115
#14
37.40.5
31.732.2
Auto7.0
Teleop27.6
End2.9
Third
4186
#28
16.81.0
18.219.2
Auto2.6
Teleop12.7
End1.5
red by 3.2
5430
#34
13.60.5
14.915.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed