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Red99
264328.7
696243.1
75125.9
Blue123
325653.9
490425.6
641853.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8414805010020099123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+16
Endgame+30
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +9
11Coral scored#13
39Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
61Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#6
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points0
99Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6962
#24
43.10.7
34.535.3
Auto12.2
Teleop31.8
End-0.8
blue by 10.7
3256
#17
53.90.2
54.554.3
Auto12.9
Teleop32.9
End8.1
Second
2643
#27
28.70.7
22.323.0
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End0.9
blue by 25.0
53.70.2
49.849.6
Auto19.3
Teleop28.0
End6.4
Third
751
#22
25.90.7
25.025.7
Auto7.4
Teleop16.0
End2.5
red by 0.3
4904
#19
25.60.2
21.721.5
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned