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Red160
67045.7
10041.2
107260.1
Blue60
185412.3
76644.3
543013.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16659010015020025016060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+62Teleop
+82Endgame
+100Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
9Leave3
8Coral scored#2
42Coral points9
51Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +23
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
65Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#13
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +100
18Foul points0
160Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.10.1
57.857.9
Auto18.1
Teleop33.5
End8.4
red by 15.8
766
#9
44.30.4
41.841.5
Auto5.9
Teleop32.3
End6.1
Second
670
#8
45.70.1
42.042.1
Auto10.5
Teleop28.3
End6.9
red by 32.1
5430
#34
13.60.4
15.315.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Third
100
#10
41.20.1
41.141.2
Auto8.6
Teleop25.7
End6.9
red by 28.9
1854
#33
12.30.6
8.57.8
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
47%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed