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Red112
603650.8
25323.4
Blue71
510426.3
186832.5
170015.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8382758085909510511271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+53Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +49
18Coral scored#9
65Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
97Total teleop48
Reef
9L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
112Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.81.8
52.654.4
Auto12.5
Teleop35.2
End3.2
red by 18.4
1868
#18
32.51.3
32.931.6
Auto8.0
Teleop17.7
End6.7
Second
253
#23
23.41.8
16.318.1
Auto1.7
Teleop19.5
End2.2
blue by 2.9
5104
#25
26.31.3
29.428.1
Auto3.4
Teleop19.1
End3.8
Third
4.42.8
5.88.6
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End-0.6
blue by 10.6
1700
#38
15.01.3
15.814.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned