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Red78
839.6
688415.8
724510.5
Blue159
490425.6
248923.3
84167.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55123010015020078159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+41
Endgame+53
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +34
10Coral scored#14
35Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
6Processor points12
12Net points24
18Algae points36
53Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points28
78Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#21
39.60.9
35.436.3
Auto13.2
Teleop23.4
End3.1
blue by 27.8
841
#4
67.41.5
58.760.2
Auto14.9
Teleop42.5
End10.0
Second
6884
#39
15.80.9
13.114.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.2
blue by 9.8
4904
#19
25.61.5
21.523.0
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End1.0
Third
7245
#32
10.50.9
10.111.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.3
blue by 12.8
2489
#26
23.31.5
23.725.2
Auto5.0
Teleop16.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned