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Qual 492025 CalGames
Red102
510426.3
418616.8
6418B32.4
Blue134
107260.1
84041.1
186832.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75154050100200102134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+20
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +9
19Coral scored#15
70Coral points55
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
88Total teleop97
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#6
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
102Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418B
#13
32.40.5
28.1→28.6
Auto4.9
Teleop24.8
End2.7
blue by 27.7
1072
#2
60.10.9
57.9→57.0
Auto18.1
Teleop33.5
End8.4
Second
5104
#25
26.30.3
28.1→28.5
Auto3.4
Teleop19.1
End3.8
blue by 14.8
840
#3
41.10.9
40.3→39.3
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
Third
4186
#28
16.80.3
16.7→17.1
Auto2.6
Teleop12.7
End1.5
blue by 15.7
1868
#18
32.50.9
31.6→30.7
Auto8.0
Teleop17.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned