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Red149
11537.4
641853.7
666538.3
Blue201
696243.1
304572.2
84669.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11518150100150200250149201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+52
Endgame+52
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points35
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +41
22Coral scored#28
78Coral points101
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
12Processor points18
12Net points24
24Algae points42
102Total teleop143
Reef
10L4#17
9L3#7
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
33Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points0
149Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.71.9
49.651.4
Auto19.3
Teleop28.0
End6.4
blue by 18.6
72.22.2
65.767.9
Auto19.0
Teleop42.3
End11.0
Second
6665
#12
38.31.9
33.835.7
Auto6.2
Teleop23.8
End8.4
blue by 30.7
846
#11
69.12.2
60.762.9
Auto15.8
Teleop46.9
End6.3
Third
115
#14
37.41.9
32.334.2
Auto7.0
Teleop27.6
End2.9
blue by 5.7
6962
#24
43.12.2
35.337.5
Auto12.2
Teleop31.8
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned36%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned