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Red95
510426.3
415940.8
64922.6
Blue144
185412.3
84669.1
75125.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11510905015020025095144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+49
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +51
8Coral scored#22
29Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
57Total teleop108
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#8
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
2Foul points8
95Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.81.6
42.140.4
Auto14.6
Teleop24.5
End1.8
blue by 28.2
846
#11
69.11.7
62.964.6
Auto15.8
Teleop46.9
End6.3
Second
5104
#25
26.31.6
28.526.8
Auto3.4
Teleop19.1
End3.8
red by 0.4
751
#22
25.91.7
26.027.6
Auto7.4
Teleop16.0
End2.5
Third
649
#36
22.61.6
29.628.0
Auto7.3
Teleop13.4
End1.9
red by 10.3
1854
#33
12.32.4
5.78.1
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned