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Red101
688415.8
135143.1
248923.3
Blue159
196737.2
107260.1
666538.3
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85151050100200250101159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+16
Endgame+40
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +27
0Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
6Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +11
18Coral scored#18
65Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
93Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#10
5L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +24
0Cage & park24
0Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
2Foul points20
101Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#15
43.10.2
42.642.9
Auto6.7
Teleop35.1
End1.3
blue by 17.0
60.10.1
57.056.8
Auto18.1
Teleop33.5
End8.4
Second
2489
#26
23.30.2
25.225.4
Auto5.0
Teleop16.9
End1.4
blue by 15.0
6665
#12
38.30.1
35.735.6
Auto6.2
Teleop23.8
End8.4
Third
6884
#39
15.80.2
14.014.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.2
blue by 21.4
1967
#16
37.20.1
34.033.9
Auto11.3
Teleop24.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned