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Red67
476526.5
724510.5
170015.0
Blue102
469825.7
325653.9
605924.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43136010015020067102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+33
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +23
10Coral scored#14
37Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
47Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#7
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
67Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4765
#35
26.50.7
25.025.7
Auto5.7
Teleop19.7
End1.1
blue by 27.4
3256
#17
53.91.1
55.254.1
Auto12.9
Teleop32.9
End8.1
Second
1700
#38
15.00.7
14.114.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End3.2
blue by 10.7
4698
#29
25.71.1
32.831.7
Auto11.5
Teleop10.3
End3.9
Third
7245
#32
10.50.7
11.011.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.3
blue by 14.0
6059
#30
24.51.1
25.424.3
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsMissed