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Red91
839.6
75125.9
Blue142
418616.8
10041.2
304572.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7715905010020025091142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+25
Endgame+45
Fouls+51
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +25
11Coral scored#16
39Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
53Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#6
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
4Foul points10
91Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#21
39.60.0
40.240.2
Auto13.2
Teleop23.4
End3.1
blue by 32.6
72.20.7
71.871.1
Auto19.0
Teleop42.3
End11.0
Second
751
#22
25.90.0
27.627.6
Auto7.4
Teleop16.0
End2.5
blue by 15.3
100
#10
41.20.7
42.942.2
Auto8.6
Teleop25.7
End6.9
Third
4.40.0
7.97.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End-0.6
blue by 12.3
4186
#28
16.80.7
17.116.4
Auto2.6
Teleop12.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned