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Red239
84167.4
11537.4
84669.1
Blue72
469825.7
84041.1
603650.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17013410015020023972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+127Teleop
+129Endgame
+167Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
0Leave9
10Coral scored#0
51Coral points0
51Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +85
31Coral scored#10
110Coral points37
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
134Total teleop49
Reef
13L4#4
9L3#3
10L2#2
9L1 · trough#1
46Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +167
38Foul points0
239Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#11
69.12.6
64.667.2
Auto15.8
Teleop46.9
End6.3
red by 18.2
50.84.0
54.650.7
Auto12.5
Teleop35.2
End3.2
Second
841
#4
67.42.6
59.962.5
Auto14.9
Teleop42.5
End10.0
red by 26.3
840
#3
41.14.0
42.438.5
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
Third
115
#14
37.42.6
34.937.4
Auto7.0
Teleop27.6
End2.9
red by 11.7
4698
#29
25.74.0
31.727.8
Auto11.5
Teleop10.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed79%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned