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Red89
666538.3
185412.3
186832.5
Blue48
724510.5
85225.6
543013.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions895302040801001201401608948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+15Teleop
+35Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +14
9Coral scored#7
32Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
46Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#11
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
6Foul points0
89Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6665
#12
38.30.6
35.636.2
Auto6.2
Teleop23.8
End8.4
red by 12.7
852
#20
25.60.7
27.927.2
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End1.0
Second
1868
#18
32.50.6
30.431.0
Auto8.0
Teleop17.7
End6.7
red by 18.9
5430
#34
13.60.7
13.212.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Third
1854
#33
12.30.8
8.18.9
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End2.6
red by 1.9
7245
#32
10.50.7
11.711.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed