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Red82
476526.5
490425.6
688415.8
Blue108
67045.7
510426.3
264328.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6711805010015020082108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
12Processor points12
4Net points16
16Algae points28
64Total teleop78
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
82Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4765
#35
26.50.9
25.726.7
Auto5.7
Teleop19.7
End1.1
blue by 19.2
670
#8
45.70.4
44.344.7
Auto10.5
Teleop28.3
End6.9
Second
4904
#19
25.60.9
23.023.9
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End1.0
blue by 3.1
2643
#27
28.70.4
25.225.6
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End0.9
Third
6884
#39
15.80.9
14.215.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.2
blue by 10.5
5104
#25
26.30.4
26.827.2
Auto3.4
Teleop19.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned