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Qual 662025 CalGames
Red165
325653.9
84041.1
84669.1
Blue104
185412.3
25323.4
84167.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1838850100150200250165104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+51Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points23
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +30
20Coral scored#13
73Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
97Total teleop67
Reef
14L4#7
5L3#7
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
165Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#11
69.10.3
67.2→67.5
Auto15.8
Teleop46.9
End6.3
red by 1.6
841
#4
67.40.8
62.5→63.3
Auto14.9
Teleop42.5
End10.0
Second
3256
#17
53.90.3
54.1→54.5
Auto12.9
Teleop32.9
End8.1
red by 30.5
253
#23
23.40.8
21.0→21.8
Auto1.7
Teleop19.5
End2.2
Third
840
#3
41.10.3
38.5→38.8
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
red by 28.8
1854
#33
12.30.9
8.9→9.8
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned