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Red145
186832.5
418616.8
415940.8
Blue114
688415.8
696243.1
510426.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10696406080120140160145114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+13
+1Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave6
4Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +26
18Coral scored#22
66Coral points78
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
80Total teleop106
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#6
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#28
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
30Foul points0
145Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.4
40.440.8
Auto14.6
Teleop24.5
End1.8
blue by 2.3
6962
#24
43.10.7
40.641.2
Auto12.2
Teleop31.8
End-0.8
Second
1868
#18
32.50.4
31.031.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.7
End6.7
red by 6.2
5104
#25
26.30.7
27.227.9
Auto3.4
Teleop19.1
End3.8
Third
4186
#28
16.80.4
16.416.8
Auto2.6
Teleop12.7
End1.5
red by 1.0
6884
#39
15.80.7
15.115.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed