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Red72
469825.7
10041.2
64922.6
Blue97
11537.4
264328.7
135143.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071224060801001401607297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +40
9Coral scored#15
31Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
6Processor points6
0Net points16
6Algae points22
37Total teleop77
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
72Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#10
41.22.0
42.240.1
Auto8.6
Teleop25.7
End6.9
blue by 1.9
1351
#15
43.11.1
44.143.0
Auto6.7
Teleop35.1
End1.3
Second
4698
#29
25.72.0
27.825.7
Auto11.5
Teleop10.3
End3.9
blue by 11.7
115
#14
37.41.1
37.436.4
Auto7.0
Teleop27.6
End2.9
Third
649
#36
22.62.0
27.525.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.4
End1.9
blue by 6.0
2643
#27
28.71.1
25.624.5
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed