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Red122
510426.3
304572.2
84041.1
Blue99
839.6
196737.2
64922.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17712105010015020025012299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave9
6Coral scored#4
32Coral points21
32Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +15
12Coral scored#12
42Coral points43
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
24Processor points12
12Net points8
36Algae points20
78Total teleop63
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#6
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points2
122Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.23.2
68.465.2
Auto19.0
Teleop42.3
End11.0
red by 32.6
8
#21
39.61.9
35.733.8
Auto13.2
Teleop23.4
End3.1
Second
840
#3
41.13.2
42.439.2
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
red by 4.0
1967
#16
37.21.9
38.936.9
Auto11.3
Teleop24.9
End1.0
Third
5104
#25
26.33.2
43.139.8
Auto3.4
Teleop19.1
End3.8
red by 3.7
649
#36
22.61.9
39.537.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
87%Coral oddsEarned30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed