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Red129
67045.7
418616.8
84167.4
Blue38
248923.3
170015.0
185412.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15561010020025012938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+55Teleop
+67Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
26Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +42
14Coral scored#4
51Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
65Total teleop23
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
24Foul points0
129Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#4
67.41.5
58.657.1
Auto14.9
Teleop42.5
End10.0
red by 44.1
2489
#26
23.31.9
28.326.4
Auto5.0
Teleop16.9
End1.4
Second
670
#8
45.71.5
45.944.4
Auto10.5
Teleop28.3
End6.9
red by 30.7
1700
#38
15.01.9
24.622.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End3.2
Third
4186
#28
16.81.5
23.421.9
Auto2.6
Teleop12.7
End1.5
red by 4.4
1854
#33
12.33.2
13.710.6
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed