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Red162
107260.1
688415.8
325653.9
Blue114
84669.1
10041.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155118050100200250162114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+30Teleop
+42Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points7
34Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +9
20Coral scored#13
72Coral points47
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
90Total teleop81
Reef
11L4#4
6L3#6
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
12Foul points6
162Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.10.9
62.062.8
Auto18.1
Teleop33.5
End8.4
blue by 8.9
846
#11
69.10.1
62.362.1
Auto15.8
Teleop46.9
End6.3
Second
3256
#17
53.90.9
57.358.1
Auto12.9
Teleop32.9
End8.1
red by 12.7
100
#10
41.20.1
41.941.8
Auto8.6
Teleop25.7
End6.9
Third
6884
#39
15.80.9
18.018.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.2
red by 11.3
4.40.2
5.45.2
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned