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Red152
641853.7
25323.4
304572.2
Blue75
469825.7
415940.8
490425.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1561025020025015275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+61Teleop
+71Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points37
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +47
14Coral scored#6
49Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
71Total teleop24
Reef
10L4#4
7L3#4
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
6Foul points0
152Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.20.8
65.265.9
Auto19.0
Teleop42.3
End11.0
red by 31.4
40.81.8
37.235.4
Auto14.6
Teleop24.5
End1.8
Second
53.70.8
48.549.2
Auto19.3
Teleop28.0
End6.4
red by 27.9
4698
#29
25.71.8
38.336.5
Auto11.5
Teleop10.3
End3.9
Third
253
#23
23.40.8
21.021.7
Auto1.7
Teleop19.5
End2.2
blue by 2.2
4904
#19
25.61.8
26.324.5
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned