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Red151
67045.7
641853.7
25323.4
Blue94
415940.8
135143.1
6418B32.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12913110012014016018015194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+37Teleop
+51Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave3
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points16
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +12
18Coral scored#14
63Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
87Total teleop75
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#5
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#22
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +57
6Foul points0
151Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.6
52.152.7
Auto19.3
Teleop28.0
End6.4
red by 10.6
1351
#15
43.10.5
43.042.5
Auto6.7
Teleop35.1
End1.3
Second
670
#8
45.70.6
44.144.7
Auto10.5
Teleop28.3
End6.9
red by 4.9
40.80.5
40.840.2
Auto14.6
Teleop24.5
End1.8
Third
253
#23
23.40.6
21.822.4
Auto1.7
Teleop19.5
End2.2
blue by 9.0
32.40.6
32.932.4
Auto4.9
Teleop24.8
End2.7