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Red209
107260.1
264328.7
84167.4
Blue153
10041.2
11537.4
76644.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16112250100150200250209153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+46Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave6
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points20
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +28
25Coral scored#21
91Coral points75
2Processor algae#2
9Net algae#6
12Processor points12
36Net points24
48Algae points36
139Total teleop111
Reef
15L4#7
6L3#11
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
209Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#4
67.41.5
63.364.7
Auto14.9
Teleop42.5
End10.0
red by 23.1
766
#9
44.30.7
43.244.0
Auto5.9
Teleop32.3
End6.1
Second
60.11.5
56.057.4
Auto18.1
Teleop33.5
End8.4
red by 18.9
100
#10
41.20.7
40.140.9
Auto8.6
Teleop25.7
End6.9
Third
2643
#27
28.71.5
24.526.0
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End0.9
blue by 8.8
115
#14
37.40.7
36.437.1
Auto7.0
Teleop27.6
End2.9