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Red142
839.6
666538.3
186832.5
Blue137
135143.1
490425.6
415940.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12212190100110130140150160142137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+17
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +27
18Coral scored#24
64Coral points85
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
90Total teleop117
Reef
8L4#10
6L3#5
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#34
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
142Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#21
39.60.7
38.839.5
Auto13.2
Teleop23.4
End3.1
blue by 3.5
1351
#15
43.10.6
42.543.1
Auto6.7
Teleop35.1
End1.3
Second
6665
#12
38.30.7
37.538.2
Auto6.2
Teleop23.8
End8.4
blue by 2.5
40.80.6
40.240.8
Auto14.6
Teleop24.5
End1.8
Third
1868
#18
32.50.7
31.732.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.7
End6.7
red by 6.8
4904
#19
25.60.6
25.025.6
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End1.0