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Red142
10041.2
11537.4
76644.3
Blue145
603650.8
196737.2
696243.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281370100200300400500142145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+15
+7Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave3
5Coral scored#6
26Coral points31
29Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +10
13Coral scored#18
45Coral points63
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
18Processor points18
24Net points16
42Algae points34
87Total teleop97
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#7
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#31
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +3
2Foul points12
142Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#9
44.30.3
44.044.3
Auto5.9
Teleop32.3
End6.1
blue by 6.5
50.80.1
48.648.7
Auto12.5
Teleop35.2
End3.2
Second
100
#10
41.20.3
40.941.2
Auto8.6
Teleop25.7
End6.9
blue by 1.9
6962
#24
43.10.1
40.941.1
Auto12.2
Teleop31.8
End-0.8
Third
115
#14
37.40.3
37.137.4
Auto7.0
Teleop27.6
End2.9
red by 0.3
1967
#16
37.20.1
35.035.1
Auto11.3
Teleop24.9
End1.0