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Red202
84669.1
304572.2
476526.5
Blue161
67045.7
25323.4
641853.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18511950100150200250202161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+47Teleop
+47Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points34
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +33
28Coral scored#17
101Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
125Total teleop92
Reef
11L4#13
12L3#5
9L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points6
202Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.20.8
71.171.9
Auto19.0
Teleop42.3
End11.0
red by 18.6
53.70.8
52.753.5
Auto19.3
Teleop28.0
End6.4
Second
846
#11
69.10.8
67.968.8
Auto15.8
Teleop46.9
End6.3
red by 23.4
670
#8
45.70.8
44.745.5
Auto10.5
Teleop28.3
End6.9
Third
4765
#35
26.50.8
25.426.2
Auto5.7
Teleop19.7
End1.1
red by 3.1
253
#23
23.40.8
22.423.2
Auto1.7
Teleop19.5
End2.2