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Red158
107260.1
264328.7
84167.4
Blue152
84041.1
325653.9
185412.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16910350150200250158152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
+4Endgame
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points37
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +8
21Coral scored#21
75Coral points77
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
93Total teleop101
Reef
10L4#9
9L3#7
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +6
2Foul points0
158Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#4
67.40.2
64.764.9
Auto14.9
Teleop42.5
End10.0
red by 13.6
3256
#17
53.91.1
52.153.2
Auto12.9
Teleop32.9
End8.1
Second
60.10.2
57.457.6
Auto18.1
Teleop33.5
End8.4
red by 19.0
840
#3
41.11.1
39.340.5
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
Third
2643
#27
28.70.2
26.026.1
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End0.9
red by 16.3
1854
#33
12.31.2
10.411.6
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End2.6