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Red133
67045.7
25323.4
641853.7
Blue163
603650.8
196737.2
696243.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13013602004006008001,000133163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+56
Endgame+32
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points38
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +42
15Coral scored#26
53Coral points95
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
77Total teleop119
Reef
6L4#10
7L3#8
4L2#11
4L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#39
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +30
2Foul points0
133Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.2
53.553.7
Auto19.3
Teleop28.0
End6.4
red by 2.8
50.80.8
48.749.5
Auto12.5
Teleop35.2
End3.2
Second
670
#8
45.70.2
45.545.7
Auto10.5
Teleop28.3
End6.9
red by 2.6
6962
#24
43.10.8
41.141.8
Auto12.2
Teleop31.8
End-0.8
Third
253
#23
23.40.2
23.223.4
Auto1.7
Teleop19.5
End2.2
blue by 13.8
1967
#16
37.20.8
35.135.9
Auto11.3
Teleop24.9
End1.0