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Red204
167883.9
713725.7
25479.6
Blue174
167148.0
452264.5
220434.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208147100250300204174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+22Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave0
3Coral scored#8
13Coral points40
19Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +43
31Coral scored#22
113Coral points78
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
24Processor points12
24Net points28
48Algae points40
161Total teleop118
Reef
13L4#7
9L3#11
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#6
44Game pieces#39
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
204Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.90.4
83.683.9
Auto20.0
Teleop54.3
End9.6
red by 19.4
64.50.7
63.664.2
Auto13.2
Teleop48.0
End3.4
Second
254
#2
79.60.4
79.279.6
Auto19.2
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 31.6
1671
#10
48.00.7
47.147.7
Auto11.6
Teleop29.8
End6.6
Third
7137
#28
25.70.4
25.425.7
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End0.5
blue by 9.1
2204
#16
34.80.7
33.934.5
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End3.1