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Red200
167883.9
713725.7
25479.6
Blue159
167148.0
452264.5
220434.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209149100250300200159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+21Teleop
+29Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
8Coral scored#6
42Coral points31
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +7
26Coral scored#17
93Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#8
12Processor points12
8Net points32
20Algae points44
113Total teleop106
Reef
14L4#7
8L3#6
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#33
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +41
12Foul points0
200Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.90.0
83.983.9
Auto20.0
Teleop54.3
End9.6
red by 19.4
64.50.3
64.264.5
Auto13.2
Teleop48.0
End3.4
Second
254
#2
79.60.0
79.679.6
Auto19.2
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 31.6
1671
#10
48.00.3
47.748.0
Auto11.6
Teleop29.8
End6.6
Third
7137
#28
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End0.5
blue by 9.1
2204
#16
34.80.3
34.534.8
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End3.1