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Red149
876832.0
469841.2
70124.0
Blue13
713725.7
97237.2
911420.1
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737905010015020025030014913

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+54Teleop
+56Endgame
+136Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +44
8Coral scored#1
30Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
48Total teleop4
Reef
6L4#1
2L3#0
1L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +136
80Foul points0
149Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.4
29.129.5
Auto12.7
Teleop23.3
End5.2
red by 4.0
972
#21
37.23.9
29.525.6
Auto8.1
Teleop21.8
End7.2
Second
8768
#12
32.00.3
16.616.9
Auto6.0
Teleop24.1
End1.9
red by 6.3
7137
#28
25.76.5
21.214.6
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End0.5
Third
701
#26
24.00.4
19.520.0
Auto2.8
Teleop18.9
End2.3
red by 3.9
9114
#19
20.13.9
21.017.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsMissed