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Red112
167883.9
940028.0
213539.5
Blue92
527420.0
541949.1
752819.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1337905010015020011292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+12Teleop
+24Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +5
14Coral scored#15
52Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
66Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#7
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points4
112Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.90.0
64.364.3
Auto20.0
Teleop54.3
End9.6
red by 34.8
5419
#15
49.10.9
40.441.2
Auto7.3
Teleop35.4
End6.4
Second
39.50.1
27.727.7
Auto13.5
Teleop24.4
End1.6
red by 19.5
5274
#31
20.00.9
15.616.5
Auto4.5
Teleop15.6
End-0.2
Third
9400
#25
28.00.1
19.619.6
Auto2.6
Teleop23.9
End1.5
red by 8.8
7528
#33
19.21.5
18.920.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed