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Red65
1021219.0
545828.7
517135.1
Blue57
527420.0
70124.0
464318.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions856620401001201406557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+2
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +2
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
45Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
65Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5171
#14
35.10.9
28.027.2
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End7.8
red by 11.1
701
#26
24.00.4
24.023.6
Auto2.8
Teleop18.9
End2.3
Second
5458
#20
28.70.9
28.027.1
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End2.5
red by 8.8
5274
#31
20.00.2
16.516.3
Auto4.5
Teleop15.6
End-0.2
Third
19.00.9
16.816.0
Auto4.4
Teleop13.5
End1.2
red by 1.0
4643
#27
18.00.4
20.019.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed