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Red128
348239.8
359837.7
469841.2
Blue136
698119.7
876832.0
452264.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98966080120140128136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points24
32Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
15Coral scored#23
54Coral points82
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
82Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#10
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#32
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
128Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.24.1
33.037.1
Auto12.7
Teleop23.3
End5.2
blue by 23.3
64.53.0
54.057.0
Auto13.2
Teleop48.0
End3.4
Second
3482
#24
39.84.1
19.023.2
Auto8.7
Teleop30.5
End0.6
red by 7.8
8768
#12
32.03.0
18.721.7
Auto6.0
Teleop24.1
End1.9
Third
3598
#18
37.72.5
35.738.2
Auto8.8
Teleop23.6
End5.3
red by 17.9
6981
#23
19.75.1
15.220.2
Auto3.7
Teleop15.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed