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Red77
666221.2
318932.5
752819.2
Blue58
325729.0
911420.1
19917.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79712040601001207758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+15Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
11Coral scored#11
38Coral points39
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
58Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
77Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.5
29.730.2
Auto5.9
Teleop23.9
End2.6
red by 3.4
3257
#22
29.00.5
27.627.1
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End3.1
Second
6662
#29
21.20.9
20.821.6
Auto3.0
Teleop17.6
End0.6
red by 1.1
9114
#19
20.10.5
17.717.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.9
End1.0
Third
7528
#33
19.20.9
18.919.7
Auto3.6
Teleop13.2
End2.4
red by 2.1
199
#34
17.10.8
20.319.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed