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Red73
167148.0
698119.7
348239.8
Blue102
228841.3
97237.2
70124.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918660708010011012013073102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
9Coral scored#16
31Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
53Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
73Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#10
48.00.7
39.538.8
Auto11.6
Teleop29.8
End6.6
red by 6.7
41.32.2
35.437.6
Auto5.7
Teleop33.2
End2.3
Second
3482
#24
39.81.1
23.222.1
Auto8.7
Teleop30.5
End0.6
red by 2.7
972
#21
37.21.3
23.024.3
Auto8.1
Teleop21.8
End7.2
Third
6981
#23
19.71.1
20.219.1
Auto3.7
Teleop15.0
End1.0
blue by 4.2
701
#26
24.02.2
23.625.8
Auto2.8
Teleop18.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned