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Red147
325729.0
318932.5
452264.5
Blue119
715741.2
517135.1
359837.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12311180100140160147119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+42Teleop
+34Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points14
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +45
21Coral scored#12
77Coral points42
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#4
12Processor points18
32Net points16
44Algae points34
121Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#4
8L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points6
147Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.52.0
57.059.0
Auto13.2
Teleop48.0
End3.4
red by 23.3
7157
#17
41.20.3
40.740.9
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End4.9
Second
32.52.0
30.232.2
Auto5.9
Teleop23.9
End2.6
blue by 5.2
3598
#18
37.70.3
38.238.5
Auto8.8
Teleop23.6
End5.3
Third
3257
#22
29.02.0
27.129.1
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End3.1
blue by 6.1
5171
#14
35.10.4
27.227.6
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned