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Red92
213539.5
464318.0
549933.6
Blue42
413523.1
911420.1
527420.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8362020401001201409242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+50Teleop
+52Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +36
14Coral scored#6
50Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
68Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
2Foul points4
92Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.52.0
30.632.6
Auto13.5
Teleop24.4
End1.6
red by 16.4
4135
#30
23.12.2
24.722.4
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End0.2
Second
33.62.0
22.224.1
Auto7.1
Teleop23.6
End2.9
red by 13.5
9114
#19
20.11.3
17.215.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.9
End1.0
Third
4643
#27
18.02.0
19.621.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End1.3
blue by 1.9
5274
#31
20.01.3
16.315.0
Auto4.5
Teleop15.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed