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Red65
666533.8
666221.2
713725.7
Blue94
940028.0
220434.8
876832.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74780501001502002503003504006594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+43
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +36
6Coral scored#12
23Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
6Processor points6
8Net points24
14Algae points30
37Total teleop73
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#22
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
65Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.5
21.220.7
Auto5.1
Teleop18.7
End9.9
blue by 1.0
2204
#16
34.82.8
26.229.0
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End3.1
Second
7137
#28
25.70.5
20.720.3
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End0.5
blue by 6.3
8768
#12
32.01.7
21.723.4
Auto6.0
Teleop24.1
End1.9
Third
6662
#29
21.20.5
21.621.2
Auto3.0
Teleop17.6
End0.6
blue by 6.8
9400
#25
28.02.8
17.520.4
Auto2.6
Teleop23.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed