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Red83
19917.1
545828.7
469841.2
Blue146
912518.7
752819.2
167883.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881375010015020083146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+51
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points21
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +40
13Coral scored#17
48Coral points62
0Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
0Processor points18
12Net points20
12Algae points38
60Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#6
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points0
83Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.21.3
37.135.8
Auto12.7
Teleop23.3
End5.2
blue by 42.7
83.91.2
69.770.9
Auto20.0
Teleop54.3
End9.6
Second
5458
#20
28.71.3
27.125.8
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End2.5
red by 9.5
7528
#33
19.22.0
19.721.7
Auto3.6
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Third
199
#34
17.11.3
19.418.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End0.8
blue by 1.6
9125
#32
18.72.0
27.429.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned