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Red111
25479.6
413523.1
207333.1
Blue77
541949.1
1021219.0
698119.7
87%Model gave it13%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126835010015020011177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave9
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
10Coral scored#13
37Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
65Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points6
111Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
79.60.5
57.758.3
Auto19.2
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 30.5
5419
#15
49.10.4
42.642.2
Auto7.3
Teleop35.4
End6.4
Second
2073
#11
33.10.3
26.226.5
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End2.7
red by 13.3
6981
#23
19.70.7
19.118.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.0
End1.0
Third
4135
#30
23.10.5
22.422.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End0.2
red by 4.0
19.00.7
16.015.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed