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Red91
348239.8
464318.0
876832.0
Blue81
527420.0
715741.2
666221.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72850501001502009181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+14Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
18Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
18Coral scored#11
63Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
73Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
91Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3482
#24
39.81.4
22.123.5
Auto8.7
Teleop30.5
End0.6
blue by 1.4
7157
#17
41.20.5
40.940.4
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End4.9
Second
8768
#12
32.00.8
23.424.3
Auto6.0
Teleop24.1
End1.9
red by 10.8
6662
#29
21.20.8
21.220.4
Auto3.0
Teleop17.6
End0.6
Third
4643
#27
18.01.4
21.623.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End1.3
blue by 1.9
5274
#31
20.00.5
15.014.5
Auto4.5
Teleop15.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed