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Red117
666533.8
517135.1
549933.6
Blue178
167883.9
713725.7
359837.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73153050100200250117178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+71
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +57
11Coral scored#26
41Coral points92
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
12Processor points18
24Net points24
36Algae points42
77Total teleop134
Reef
7L4#10
3L3#10
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#7
21Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
117Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5171
#14
35.13.4
27.631.0
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End7.8
blue by 48.8
83.92.3
70.973.2
Auto20.0
Teleop54.3
End9.6
Second
33.83.4
20.724.1
Auto5.1
Teleop18.7
End9.9
blue by 3.9
3598
#18
37.72.3
38.540.8
Auto8.8
Teleop23.6
End5.3
Third
33.63.4
24.127.5
Auto7.1
Teleop23.6
End2.9
red by 7.9
7137
#28
25.73.8
20.324.1
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned