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Red64
228841.3
912518.7
911420.1
Blue125
213539.5
452264.5
167148.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8114405010020064125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+47
Endgame+59
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave3
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points34
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +23
9Coral scored#13
33Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
47Total teleop70
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points2
64Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.32.1
37.635.5
Auto5.7
Teleop33.2
End2.3
blue by 23.2
64.50.5
59.058.5
Auto13.2
Teleop48.0
End3.4
Second
9114
#19
20.11.3
15.814.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.9
End1.0
blue by 27.9
1671
#10
48.00.5
38.838.3
Auto11.6
Teleop29.8
End6.6
Third
9125
#32
18.72.1
29.427.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 20.7
39.50.8
32.631.8
Auto13.5
Teleop24.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned