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Red95
70124.0
220434.8
318932.5
Blue85
752819.2
207333.1
469841.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99936070801101201309585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
+2Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +20
9Leave0
1Coral scored#7
4Coral points33
13Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +22
13Coral scored#7
48Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
68Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
95Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2204
#16
34.80.9
29.029.9
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End3.1
blue by 6.4
41.20.1
35.835.9
Auto12.7
Teleop23.3
End5.2
Second
32.50.5
32.232.7
Auto5.9
Teleop23.9
End2.6
blue by 0.6
2073
#11
33.10.1
26.526.6
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End2.7
Third
701
#26
24.00.9
25.826.7
Auto2.8
Teleop18.9
End2.3
red by 4.8
7528
#33
19.20.1
21.721.8
Auto3.6
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed