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Red171
348239.8
713725.7
541949.1
Blue179
549933.6
545828.7
167883.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9815150200171179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+8Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave3
6Coral scored#5
29Coral points27
35Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
19Coral scored#29
70Coral points105
5Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
30Processor points12
32Net points12
62Algae points24
132Total teleop129
Reef
10L4#11
7L3#9
6L2#8
2L1 · trough#6
38Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points6
171Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5419
#15
49.14.7
42.246.8
Auto7.3
Teleop35.4
End6.4
blue by 34.8
83.92.3
73.275.6
Auto20.0
Teleop54.3
End9.6
Second
3482
#24
39.87.8
23.531.3
Auto8.7
Teleop30.5
End0.6
red by 6.2
33.63.9
27.531.4
Auto7.1
Teleop23.6
End2.9
Third
7137
#28
25.77.8
24.131.9
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End0.5
blue by 3.0
5458
#20
28.73.9
25.829.7
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned